Here's the predicted Top 10:
#1: Spectre ($75 million)
#2: The Peanuts Movie ($52 million)
#1: Spectre ($75 million)
#2: The Peanuts Movie ($52 million)
#3: The Martian ($7 million, -39%)
#4: Bridge of Spies ($6 million, -30%)
#4: Bridge of Spies ($6 million, -30%)
#5: Goosebumps ($5.5 million, -45%)
#6: Hotel Transylvania 2 ($3 million, -49%)
Burnt ($3 million, -40%)
#8: The Last Witch Hunter ($2.2 million, -58%)
#9: Our Brand is Crisis ($1.8 million, -43%)
#10: Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension ($1.5 million, -56%)
The Intern ($1.5 million, -38%)
#8: The Last Witch Hunter ($2.2 million, -58%)
#9: Our Brand is Crisis ($1.8 million, -43%)
#10: Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension ($1.5 million, -56%)
The Intern ($1.5 million, -38%)
Spectre, the latest James Bond movie, is coming off the franchise's most successful entry yet, Skyfall. That movie, which was released during that franchise's 50th anniversary, earned over $300 million domestically and also earned over $1 billion worldwide. Unfortunately, despite strong buzz, Spectre isn't having nearly as positive reception from critics (61% vs. 93% on Rotten Tomatoes) as the previous movie. Plus, the heights Skyfall set, at this point, seem very hard to top. That being said, a $75 million opening would still be great, but it wouldn't be anything spectacular. It needs a strong start, as the budget was at least $250 million on this one.
Bond will also lose some adults to The Peanuts Movie, as families will flock to movie theaters this weekend. The classic Charles Schultz characters have been on the big screen before, but not for 25 years. Fox and Blue Sky Studios have promoted the heck out of the film, and the characters are still relevant thanks to popular products at Hallmark, and the television specials still airing on ABC every year. The family marketplace hasn't been exacty barren lately, as both Hotel Transylvania 2 and to a lesser extent, Goosebumps, were both in the Top 5 last week. But given the multi-generational nostalgia factor plus the excitement of introducing the characters to today's kids, should result in a pretty strong opening. There's always a chance fan inflation buzz could make it underperform, but animated films usually do strong business at this time of year. Just ask Big Hero 6 (even though that had Disney behind it).
Holdovers will all be shoved aside by the two new releases. But some will hold better than others. Potential Oscar fare like The Martian and Bridge of Spies will hold the strongest, while Goosebumps and Hotel Transylvania 2 will be affected by Peanuts as well as the passing of Halloween (the two horror films on the list will also be affected by the latter). Finally, last week's stinkers Burnt and Our Brand is Crisis will level off in their (too low) levels.