#1: Ant-Man and the Wasp ($36.5 million, -52%)
It's going to be close. But with both new films not really sparking on social media, I'm predicting a narrow sophomore win for the Marvel sequel. As usual, expect a second weekend decline a little above 50%.
It's going to be close. But with both new films not really sparking on social media, I'm predicting a narrow sophomore win for the Marvel sequel. As usual, expect a second weekend decline a little above 50%.
#2: Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($35 million)
To be honest, I'm not sure how many people wanted a third Hotel Transylvania. But, here we are. The second movie was the rare sequel to improve on its' predecessors' gross (winding up near $170 million stateside and close to $500 million worldwide). But those two opened in the Fall season. This one's opening in the summer with much more competition (including Incredibles 2 which will still be pulling in business). Early reviews are surprisingly better than the first two films (70% on Rotten Tomatoes), which may help it possibly propel to #1. But for now, I'm going to expect this one to take a dip from its predecessors (with possible ground to make up with strong weekdays).
To be honest, I'm not sure how many people wanted a third Hotel Transylvania. But, here we are. The second movie was the rare sequel to improve on its' predecessors' gross (winding up near $170 million stateside and close to $500 million worldwide). But those two opened in the Fall season. This one's opening in the summer with much more competition (including Incredibles 2 which will still be pulling in business). Early reviews are surprisingly better than the first two films (70% on Rotten Tomatoes), which may help it possibly propel to #1. But for now, I'm going to expect this one to take a dip from its predecessors (with possible ground to make up with strong weekdays).
#3: Skyscraper ($33 million)
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson's latest is earning OK reviews (62% on Rotten Tomatoes so far), but it hasn't been pulling in the strong social media buzz that it needs to be a breakout hit. Blame a competitive marketplace for keeping some mainstream audiences at bay as well. It is important to note that Johnson's films do have the tendency to over-perform (Rampage for example), and this could be another example of that. But, it's tough to tell at this time.
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson's latest is earning OK reviews (62% on Rotten Tomatoes so far), but it hasn't been pulling in the strong social media buzz that it needs to be a breakout hit. Blame a competitive marketplace for keeping some mainstream audiences at bay as well. It is important to note that Johnson's films do have the tendency to over-perform (Rampage for example), and this could be another example of that. But, it's tough to tell at this time.
#4: Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($15.5 million, -46%)
With Skyscraper being a Universal release, there is a possibility the studio may try to put both together in double-features, and have some spillover business carry over here. That may be enough for Fallen Kingdom to hold a little bit better than previous weeks, even if Skyscraper should technically count as competition.
With Skyscraper being a Universal release, there is a possibility the studio may try to put both together in double-features, and have some spillover business carry over here. That may be enough for Fallen Kingdom to hold a little bit better than previous weeks, even if Skyscraper should technically count as competition.
#5: Incredibles 2 ($15 million, -47%)
With added competition from Hotel Transylvania 3, the superhero sequel probably won't have a very strong hold this weekend. But, it still has quite a bit to go before its finished.
With added competition from Hotel Transylvania 3, the superhero sequel probably won't have a very strong hold this weekend. But, it still has quite a bit to go before its finished.
#6: The First Purge ($8.5 million, -51%)
As usual for horror flicks, The First Purge will probably lose about half its business from last weekend. However, a "B-" CinemaScore is better-than-average for its genre, which could point to this prediction being a little bit pessimistic.
As usual for horror flicks, The First Purge will probably lose about half its business from last weekend. However, a "B-" CinemaScore is better-than-average for its genre, which could point to this prediction being a little bit pessimistic.
#7 (tie): Uncle Drew ($4 million, -39%)
After a major decline last weekend, look for the basketball comedy to level off a bit better this weekend.
After a major decline last weekend, look for the basketball comedy to level off a bit better this weekend.
#7 (tie): Sicario: Day of the Soldado ($4 million, -47%)
The action sequel will likely continue to drop in the face of added competition.
The action sequel will likely continue to drop in the face of added competition.
#9: Ocean's 8 ($3.5 million, -31%)
A lack of any added competition for females will point to another strong hold for the Warner Bros. crime dramedy.
A lack of any added competition for females will point to another strong hold for the Warner Bros. crime dramedy.
#10 (tie): Won't You Be My Neighbor? ($2 million, -20%)
The Fred Rogers documentary will likely have the strongest hold of the list due to either expanding into more theaters or remaining steady in terms of theater count.
The Fred Rogers documentary will likely have the strongest hold of the list due to either expanding into more theaters or remaining steady in terms of theater count.
#10 (tie): Tag ($2 million, -33%)
This one should hold better than last weekend due to a lack of any added R-rated comedy competition.
