First of all, I apologize for no weekend post on Sunday. This past weekend had a lot going on, and I completely forgot after Sunday. For this coming week, I know that overall business will be behind as last year's March started off with the huge $88 million debut of Logan.
Here is my predicted Top 10:
#1: Black Panther ($60 million, -46%)
Marvel's latest and possibly biggest blockbuster yet looks to have one of the biggest third weekends of all-time. The 17-day gross will soar over $500 million, and remain ahead of the first Avengers through the same point. The worldwide gross looks to pass $1 billion in the next few weeks. Disney and Marvel are so hyped about the film's performance that they have moved up Avengers: Infinity War a week to April 27.
#2: Red Sparrow ($18 million)
Its' going to be a close race, but I'm giving the edge to the Jennifer Lawrence action flick. Reviews are mixed (51% on Rotten Tomatoes), but the film is different enough that it should be able to pull in respectable numbers.
#3: Death Wish ($16 million)
The Bruce Willis remake has been having strong marketing and fairly decent buzz heading into its' release. Black Panther and an R rating may keep it from truly breaking out, however.
#4: Game Night ($11 million, -35%)
A lack of any true comedy competition and some positive word-of-mouth from critics/audiences will keep this comedy chugging along.
#5: Peter Rabbit ($8 million, -38%)
No added movies for families equals another strong hold for the Beatrix Potter adaptation. It might hit $100 million at this pace (if next weekend's A Wrinkle in Time doesn't stop it first).
#6: Annihilation ($5.5 million, -50%)
While critics are loving it, audiences are not so sure ("C" CinemaScore). With that in mind plus audiences' tendency to rush out for sci-fi films, a drop less than 50% is hard to imagine.
#7: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle ($4 million, -30%)
Coming up on just a couple of weeks ahead of its Blu-ray release, Jumanji will easily make it an 11th-straight week in the list.
#8: Fifty Shades Freed ($3.5 million, -52%)
Christian and Ana will likely have their final appearance in the Top 10 as this final installment continues to expectedly drop precipitously.
#9: The Greatest Showman ($2.5 million, -27%)
The family musical will have one more appearance in the Top 10 before A Wrinkle in Time debuts.
#10: The 15:17 to Paris ($2 million, -45%)
Not holding nearly as well as expected with older audiences, and that shouldn't change here. I would blame the reviews.