Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Weekend Box Office Predictions for November 15-17, 2013

Overall box office will be down from last year (but things should pick up next weekend)...


The Best Man Holiday.jpgThe only new release this weekend is comedy The Best Man Holiday, a Christmas-themed sequel to the 1999 film The Best Man.  That film was a minor hit at the box office, earning $35 million, or the equivalent of around $55 million today.  One has to wonder why this is here if its' been 14 years?  Well, there's virtually nothing wrong with making a Christmas sequel, is there?  I can't exactly answer why this is here, but I will say distributor Universal has done a solid job marketing this pic.  There's also no competition in the marketplace for comedies, a strong sign this comedy will perform better than expected.  Don't expect it to make too much noise as some audiences are waiting for The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, but it should still have a solid second place opening.  Reviews have been surprisingly solid thus far.  Look for a $18 million opening weekend, on its' way to around $55-$60 million domestic with no competition until December.




Thor: The Dark World should easily hold the #1 spot, and will likely hold better than its' predecessor due to solid word-of-mouth and an extra week of breathing room from Catching Fire.  Look for a 55% drop to $39 million, for a $147 million gross in 10 days.  The rest of the Top 5 will be in the distance, but look for Free Birds and Last Vegas to battle for third place with around $8 million apiece (down 30% each), and Bad Grandpa to round out the Top 5 with around $7 million (down 40%).  Their totals will respectively reach $42 million and $46 million in 17 days, and $89 million in 24 days.

Here is the rest of the Top 10:

#6: Ender's Game ($6.5 million, -36%)
#7: Gravity ($6 million, -29%)
#8: 12 Years a Slave ($5 million, -21%)
#9: Captain Phillips ($4 million, -30%)
#10: About Time ($3 million, -38%)